By Peter Berkowitz
-
www.weeklystandard.com. (13
July/09, Volume 014, Issue 40)
The conclusion of a
lengthy commentary on the options of dealing with the threat of Iran’s
nuclear program:
July 09. The moment that Iran
announces its possession of nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab
Emirates, and perhaps Kuwait, taking to heart Iran's declared hostility to
Sunni Islam and determination to obtain hegemony in the Gulf, will go
shopping for their own. Egypt and Turkey will not be far behind. As if a
nuclear-armed Pakistan were not worry enough, the vulnerability of these
regimes to overthrow by the forces of radical Islam heightens the
possibility of the world's most dangerous weapons falling into the hands of
many of the world's most dangerous actors.
Furthermore, once the Middle East
went poly-nuclear, it would be only a matter of time until a suitcase
nuclear bomb fell, leaked, or was placed into terrorists' hands. Even before
that, radical Islamists throughout the Middle East -- particularly Hezbollah
and Hamas -- would receive a tremendous psychological boost from a nuclear
Iran and be emboldened by their patron's nuclear umbrella. A nuclear Iran
would further undermine the chance for peace between Israel and the
Palestinians and Israel and Syria by tempting waverers in the region, those
who had begun to abandon the idea that Israel might someday disappear, to
once again contemplate an Israel-free Middle East.
In sum, containment is a grim
option. So is a military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. And relying on
prayer for Mousavi and the Iranian people to overthrow the mullahs is no
option at all, at least not for the state of Israel, the front line in
Islamic radicalism's war against the West. Thus, in the short time left
before Israel is compelled by an Iran fast closing in on a nuclear
capability to choose between two grim options, Israel's highest priority
will be to persuade an equivocating United States, a dithering Europe, and
an obstructionist Russia that a nuclear Iran is not just an Israeli problem
or a Middle Eastern problem but a problem for the United States and the
world.
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